TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 1
Tropical Depression “#MaringPH”
Issued at 5:00 PM, 07 October 2021
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA EAST OF CAMARINES NORTE DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND WAS NAMED “MARING”.
Location of Center (4:00 PM)The center of Tropical Depression “MARING” was estimated based on all available data at 505 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (13.3°N, 128.9°E) Intensity Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of 1002 hPa Present Movement South southeastward at 15 km/h Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 250 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT
No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal is currently in effect.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
l• Today, the trough of “MARING” may bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Eastern Visayas.
• Under these conditions, scattered flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are possible especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps
Current track and intensity forecast shows that there is a moderate to high likelihood that Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals (TCWS) will be hoisted over several provinces in Northern Luzon by Saturday morning or afternoon. The highest possible wind signal for this tropical cyclone is TCWS #2. However, due to the uncertainty in the intensity forecast, there is a possibility that higher TCWS may be raised.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, moderate rough seas will prevail over the seaboards of Luzon and the eastern and western seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao. These conditions are risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• Tropical Depression “MARING” developed from the Low Pressure Area over the Philippine Sea at 2:00 PM today.
• On the forecast track, the tropical depression will continue moving generally southeastward slowly in the next 12 hours before turning northward tomorrow afternoon. Afterwards, “MARING” will move north northwestward over the Philippine Sea by Saturday morning, gradually accelerating in the process. By Sunday afternoon, it will move west northwestward towards Extreme Northern Luzon and may pass close or make landfall over Babuyan Islands by Monday.
• “MARING” is forecast to remain tropical depression while moving over the Philippine Sea and may intensify into tropical storm by Sunday afternoon.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today.